If you have any questions about how the formula works or would like some clarification from the creator feel free to e-mail [email protected]. You can follow along with the calculation of the numbers at our VAVEL Bracketology page right here.

(Records updated through Sunday, March 1st)

We will start with a look at the play-in games taking place in Dayton, Ohio on March 17th and 18th.

Team (Record, How They Made the Tournament)

Tuesday, March 17th

Midwest #16 Seed

Lafayette (16-12, Patriot League Champion)

Texas Southern (15-12, SWAC Champion)


South #12 Seed

NC State (17-12, At-Large)

Cincinnati (20-9, At-Large)


Wednesday, March 18th

East #16 Seed

New Mexico State (19-10, WAC Champion)

St. Francis-NY (21-9, Northeast Champion)


West #12 Seed

Tulsa (21-7, At-Large)

Oklahoma State (17-11, At-Large)


Midwest Region (#1; Cleveland, Ohio)

March 19th in Louisville, Kentucky

#1 Kentucky (29-0, SEC Champion)

#16 Winner of Lafayette/Texas Southern


#8 Michigan State (19-10, At-Large)

#9 Dayton (22-6, At-Large)


March 20th in Columbus, Ohio

#4 Notre Dame (24-5, At-Large)

#13 Valparaiso (26-5, Horizon League Champion)


#5 Iowa State (20-8, At-Large)

#12 Stephen F. Austin (24-4, Southland Champion)


March 19th in Jacksonville, Florida

#3 Louisville (23-6, At-Large)

#14 Georgia State (20-9, Sun Belt Champion)


#6 SMU (23-6, American Champion)

#11 Purdue (19-10, At-Large)


March 20th in Seattle, Washington

#2 Gonzaga (29-2, West Coast Champion)

#15 South Dakota State (21-9, Summit League Champion)


#7 Providence (20-9, At-Large)

#10 Ole Miss (19-10, At-Large)


East Region (#2; Syracuse, New York)

March 20th in Charlotte, North Carolina

#1 Virginia (27-1, ACC Champion)

#16 Winner of New Mexico State/St. Francis-NY


#8 Texas A&M (20-8, At-Large)

#9 St. John’s (20-9, At-Large)


March 19th in Portland, Oregon

#4 Utah (22-6, At-Large)

#13 Buffalo (19-9, Mid-American Champion)


#5 Oklahoma (20-8, At-Large)

#12 Murray State (26-4, Ohio Valley Champion)


March 19th in Louisville, Kentucky

#3 Maryland (24-5, At-Large)

#14 High Point (22-8, Big South Champion)


#6 Butler (21-8, At-Large)

#11 Boise State (22-7, At-Large)


March 20th in Omaha, Nebraska

#2 Kansas (23-6, Big 12 Champion)

#15 Eastern Washington (21-8, Big Sky Champion)


#7 Virginia Commonwealth (21-8, Atlantic 10 Champion)

#10 Georgia (19-9, At-Large)


South Region (#3; Houston, Texas)

March 20th in Charlotte, North Carolina

#1 Duke (26-3, At-Large)

#16 North Carolina Central (22-6, Mid-Eastern Champion)


#8 San Diego State (22-7, At-Large)

#9 Indiana (19-10, At-Large)


March 19th in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania

#4 West Virginia (22-7, At-Large)

#13 Wofford (25-6, Southern Champion)


#5 Arkansas (23-6, At-Large)

#12 Winner of NC State/Cincinnati


March 20th in Seattle, Washington

#3 Wichita State (27-3, Missouri Valley Champion)

#14 Iona (24-7, Metro Atlantic Champion)


#6 Ohio State (21-8, At-Large)

#11 Texas (17-12, At-Large)


March 19th in Portland, Oregon

#2 Arizona (26-3, Pac-12 Champion)

#15 Northeastern (20-11, Colonial Champion)


#7 Georgetown (18-9, At-Large)

#10 BYU (23-8, At-Large)


West Region (#4; Los Angeles, California)

March 19th in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania

#1 Villanova (27-2, Big East Champion)

#16 Florida Gulf Coast (21-9, Atlantic Sun Champion)


#8 Oregon (22-8, At-Large)

#9 Iowa (19-10, At-Large)


March 20th in Columbus, Ohio

#4 Northern Iowa (27-3, At-Large)

#13 UC Davis (22-5, Big West Champion)


#5 North Carolina (20-9, At-Large)

#12 Winner of Tulsa/Oklahoma State


March 19th in Jacksonville, Florida

#3 Baylor (22-7, At-Large)

#14 Harvard (20-6, Ivy League Champion)


#6 Colorado State (24-5, Mountain West Champion)

#11 Old Dominion (22-6, Conference USA Champion)


March 20th in Omaha, Nebraska

#2 Wisconsin (26-3, Big Ten Champion)

#15 Albany (21-8, America East Champion)


#7 LSU (21-8, At-Large)

#10 Davidson (21-6, At-Large)


LAST FOUR IN:

Tulsa (21-7)

Oklahoma State (17-11)

NC State (17-12)

Cincinnati (20-9)

FIRST FOUR OUT:

Xavier (18-12)

Saint Mary’s (21-8)

Temple (20-9)

Illinois (18-11)

NEXT FOUR OUT:

Pittsburgh (19-11)

Stanford (18-10)

Miami-Florida (18-11)

Rhode Island (20-7)

TEN MORE TO WATCH:

Louisiana Tech (23-7)

UCLA (18-12)

Green Bay (23-7)

Central Michigan (21-6)

TCU (17-12)

Toledo (19-10)

Minnesota (17-12)

Clemson (16-12)

Seton Hall (16-12)

Wyoming (21-8)

BRACKET CHANGES:

At-Large Out:

Pittsburgh

At-Large In:

Cincinnati

Conference Champions Out:

None

Conference Champions In:

None

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About the author
Matthew Evans
Matthew is an American sports journalist based out of Kennewick, Washington. He is a Managing Editor for VAVEL USA as well as Co-editor of the soccer section.