Lets face it: “expert” mock drafts are basically a crap shoot. Even the guys with inside contacts with front offices carry water for agents and teams, so its hard to know who to listen to. This article is just placing a mark to be compared to after the first round with a comparison between the Convention Wisdom, a general assessment of the zeitgeist , Mel Kiper, Todd McShay, Greg Cosell, Don Banks, Pete Prisco and myself. We’re going to have a crude scoring system also, which follows:
Getting a pick absolutely right, in which I mean the team, pick number and prospect all match(for instance predicting that Luke Joeckel goes #1 overall to Kansas City and that happens: 5 points
Getting a pick 67% right, for instance predicting that Luke Joeckel goes #1 overall to Kansas City and Luke Joeckel goes #1 overall to Cleveland in a trade up or Kansas City trades back to #7 overall and still gets Luke Joeckel:: 3 points.
Every player picked to be a 1st round pick and they aren’t picked in the first round: -2 points.
These mocks will be scored after the first round.
1. Kansas City Chiefs:
CW: Luke Joeckel OT TAMU
Kiper: Luke Joeckel
Greg Cosell: Eric Fisher OT CMU
McShay: Luke Joeckel
Don Banks: Eric Fisher
Pete Prisco: Luke Joeckel
My pick: Eric Fisher
2. Jacksonville Jaguars
CW: Dion Jordan DE Oregon
Kiper: Eric Fisher
Greg Cosell: Luke Joeckel
McShay: Eric Fisher
Don Banks: Dion Jordan
Pete Prisco: Dion Jordan
My pick: Dion Jordan
3. Oakland Raiders
CW: Shariff Floyd DT Florida
Kiper: Shariff Floyd
Greg Cosell: Shariff Floyd
McShay: Sharrif Floyd
Don Banks: Sharrif Floyd
Pete Prisco: Sharrif Floyd
My pick: Luke Joeckel
4. Philadelphia Eagles
CW: Eric Fisher OT CMU
Kiper: Lane Johnson OT OKlahoma
Greg Cosell: Dion Jordan
McShay: Lane Johnson OT Oklahoma
Don Banks: Star Lotulelei
Pete Prisco: Star Lotulelei
My pick: Geno Smith Qb WVU
5. Detroit Lions
CW: Lane Johnson OT Oklahoma
Kiper: Ezekiel Ansah DE BYU
Greg Cosell: Lane Johnson
McShay: Ezekiel Ansah DE BYU
Don Banks: Luke Joeckel
Pete Prisco: Eric Fisher
My pick: Ezekial Ansah DE BYU
6. Cleveland Browns
CW: A trade down or Dee Milliner CB Alabama
Kiper: Dee Milliner
Greg Cosell: Tyler Eifert TE Notre Dame
McShay: Tyler Eifert
Don Banks: Geno Smith
Pete Prisco: Dee Milliner
My pick: Tavon Austin WR WVU
7. Arizona Cardinals
CW: DJ Fluker OT Alabama
Kiper: Dion Jordan
Greg Cosell: Tavon Austin
McShay: Dion Jordan
Don Banks: Chance Warmack OG Alabama
Pete Prisco: Ezekiel Ansah
My pick: Lane Johnson
8. Buffalo Bills
CW: Ryan Nassib QB Syracuse
Kiper: Jon Cooper OL UNC
Greg Cosell: Barkevious Mingo
McShay: Ryan Nassib
Don Banks: Jon Cooper
Pete Prisco: Jon Cooper
My pick: Ryan Nassib
9. New York Jets
CW: Barkevious Mingo DE LSU
Kiper: Barkevious Mingo
Greg Cosell: Jon Cooper OL UNC
McShay: Barkevious Mingo
Don Banks: Dee Milliner
Pete Prisco: Tavon Austin
My pick: Barkevious Mingo
10. Tennessee Titans
CW: Jon Cooper OL UNC
Kiper: Sheldon Richardson DT Missouri
Greg Cosell: Chance Warmack
McShay: Dee Milliner
Don Banks: Ziggy Ansah
Pete Prisco: Chance Warmack
My pick: Sharrif Floyd
11. San Diego Chargers
CW: Tavon Austin WR WVU or a trade up for Lane Johnson OT Oklahoma
Kiper: DJ Fluker
Greg Cosell: Alex Ogletree
McShay: Jon Cooper
Don Banks: Lane Johnson
Pete Prisco: Lane Johnson
My pick: Jon Cooper
12. Miami Dolphins
CW: DJ Fluker or Menelik Watson OT FSU
Kiper: Chance Warmack
Greg Cosell: DJ Hayden CB Houston
McShay: Chance Warmack OG Alabama
Don Banks: Xavier Rhodes CB FSU
Pete Prisco: Xavier Rhodes
My pick: DJ Fluker OT Alabama, Dee Milliner if they deal for Brandon Albert.
13. New York Jets(from Tampa Bay)
CW: Chance Warmack OG Alabama
Kiper: Tavon Austin
Greg Cosell: Jarvis Jones
McShay: Tavon Austin
Don Banks: Barkevious Mingo
Pete Prisco: Barkevious Mingo
My pick: DJ Fluker if he's there, otherwise Star Lotulelei
14. Carolina Panthers
CW: Sheldon Richardson DT Missouri
Kiper: Star Lotulelei
Greg Cosell: Sheldon Richardson
McShay: Star Lotulelei
Don Banks: Sheldon Richardson
Pete Prisco: Sheldon Richardson
My pick: Sheldon Richardson
15. New Orleans Saints
CW: Xavier Rhodes CB FSU
Kiper: Jarvis Jones DE/OLB UGA
Greg Cosell: Star Lotulelei DT Utah
McShay: DJ Fluker
Don Banks: Jarvis Jones
Pete Prisco: Menelik Watson OT FSU
My pick: Kyle Long OT Oregon
16. St Louis Rams
CW: DeAndre Hopkins WR Clemson
Kiper: Kenny Vaccaro
Greg Cosell: Eddie Lacy RB Alabama
McShay: Kenny Vaccaro S Texas
Don Banks: Tavon Austin
Pete Prisco: Kenny Vaccaro
My pick: Kenny Vaccaro
17. Pittsburgh Steelers
CW: Jarvis Jones DE/OLB UGA
Kiper: Tyler Eifert
Greg Cosell: Dee Milliner CB Alabama
McShay: Jarvis Jones
Don Banks: Bjoern Werner DE FSU
Pete Prisco: Tyler Eifert
My pick: Jarvis Jones DE/LB UGA
18. Dallas Cowboys
CW: Chance Warmack or Eric Reid S LSU
Kiper: Sylvester Williams DT UNC
Greg Cosell: Kenny Vaccaro S Texas
McShay: Sheldon Richardson
Don Banks: Sylvester Williams DT UNC
Pete Prisco: Sylvester Williams
My pick: Sylvester Williams
19. New York Giants
CW: Bjoern Werner DE FSU
Kiper: DJ Hayden CB Houston
Greg Cosell: Ezekiel Ansah DE BYU
McShay: DJ Hayden CB Houston
Don Banks: Tank Carradine DE FSU
Pete Prisco: DJ Fluker
My pick: Menelik Watson OT FSU
20. Chicago Bears
CW: Tyler Eifert TE Notre Dame
Kiper: Manti Te’o LB Notre Dame
Greg Cosell: DJ Fluker
McShay: Alec Ogletree
Don Banks: Tyler Eifert
Pete Prisco: Arthur Brown LB K-State
My pick: Tyler Eifert
21. Cincinnati Bengals
CW: DJ Hayden CB Houston
Kiper: Eddie Lacy RB Alabama
Greg Cosell: Jonathan Cyprien S Florida International
McShay: Cordarrelle Patterson WR Tennessee
Don Banks: Alec Ogletree
Pete Prisco: Jonathan Cyprien S Florida Intl.
My pick: Matt Elam S Florida
22. St Louis Rams(from Redskins)
CW: Alec Ogletree LB UGA
Kiper: Cordarrelle Patterson WR Tenn.
Greg Cosell: Sylvester Williams DT UNC
McShay: Eddie Lacy RB Alabama
Don Banks: Kenny Vaccaro
Pete Prisco: Cordarrelle Patterson WR Tenn.
My pick: Chance Warmack
23. Minnesota Vikings
CW: Cordarrelle Patterson WR Tennessee
Kiper: Robert Woods
Greg Cosell: Justin Hunter WR Tennessee
McShay: Sylvester Williams DT UNC
Don Banks: Desmond Trufant CB Washington
Pete Prisco: Tank Carradine DE FSU
My pick: Robert Woods
24. Indianapolis Colts
CW: Datone Jones DL UCLA
Kiper: Xavier Rhodes CB FSU
Greg Cosell: Xavier Rhodes
McShay: Xavier Rhodes
Don Banks: DJ Fluker
Pete Prisco: Brian Schwenke C California
My pick: Bjoern Werner OLB/DE FSU
25. Minnesota Vikings(from Seattle)
CW: Manti Te’o LB Notre Dame
Kiper: Alec Ogletree
Greg Cosell: Arthur Brown Lb K-State
McShay: Manti Te’o
Don Banks: Manti Te’o
Pete Prisco: Desmond Trufant CB Washington
My pick: Kevin Minter LB LSU
26. Green Bay Packers
CW: Margus Hunt DE SMU
Kiper: Datone Jones DL UCLA
Greg Cosell: Datone Jones DL UCLA
McShay: Matt Elam S Florida
Don Banks: Menelik Watson OT FSU
Pete Prisco: Johnathan Hankins DT OSU
My pick: Eddie Lacy
27. Houston Texans
CW: Menelik Watson OT FSU
Kiper: DeAndre Hopkins
Greg Cosell: Keenan Allen WR California
McShay: Justin Hunter WR Tennessee
Don Banks: Keenan Allen WR California
Pete Prisco: Justin Hunter WR Tenn.
My pick: DeAndre Hopkins
28. Denver Broncos
CW: Jamar Taylor CB Boise State
Kiper: Tank Carradine DE FSU
Greg Cosell: Tank Carradine DE FSU
McShay: Bjoern Werner DE FSU
Don Banks: Datone Jones DL UCLA
Pete Prisco: Bjoern Werner
My pick: Dj Hayden
29. New England Patriots
CW: Johnathan Banks CB Miss State
Kiper: Desmond Trufant Cb Washington
Greg Cosell: Cordarrelle Patterson WR Tennessee
McShay: Datone Jones DL UCLA
Don Banks: DJ Hayden CB Houston
Pete Prisco: Jamar Taylor
My pick: Cordarrelle Patterson WR Tennessee
30. Atlanta Falcons
CW: Desmond Trufant CB Washington
Kiper: Robert Alford CB SE LA
Greg Cosell: Jamar Taylor CB Boise State
McShay: Justin Pugh OL Syracuse
Don Banks: Jamar Taylor CB Boise State
Pete Prisco: DJ Hayden
My pick: Jamar Taylor CB Boise State
31. San Francisco 49ers
CW: Tank Carradine DE FSU
Kiper: Matt Elam
Greg Cosell: Jesse Williams DT Alabama
McShay: Zach Ertz TE Stanford
Don Banks: Cordarrelle Patterson
Pete Prisco: Datone Jones
My pick: Tank Carradine
32. Baltimore Ravens
CW: Matt Elam S Florida
Kiper: Kevin Minter Lb LSU
Greg Cosell: Kevin Minter LB LSU
McShay: Eric Reid S LSU
Don Banks: Jonathan Cyprien
Pete Prisco: Quinton Patton WR La Tech
My pick: Jonathan Cyprien