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Stillwater weather, 73.5-point DraftKings line and ESPN broadcast details
Fourth-down aggression, pass protection and kicking edges
Third-down conversion rates between these clubs are virtually identical: 40.20 percent for Oklahoma State (41 of 102) and 39.83 percent for Texas Tech (47 of 118).
Fourth down and the kicking game separate how they finish drives. Texas Tech converts 62.50 percent on fourth down (10 of 16) and has drilled 18 of 22 field goals (81.8 percent, long of 52), though 59 penalties for 500 yards have stalled marches. Oklahoma State goes 6 of 12 on fourth down (50.00 percent), commits fewer flags (45 penalties for 428 yards), surrenders barely 0.89 sacks per game (eight in nine games) and cashes 95.0 percent of its field-goal tries at 19 of 20 (long of 47).
Big 12 Championship race: chasing unbeaten Utah in Week 12
Every Big 12 contender is staring up at 9-0 Utah (6-0 Big 12) atop the league table tonight.
At 8-1 overall and 5-1 in conference action, No. 12 Texas Tech holds sole possession of second place, one game clear of the four-way logjam at 4-2 shared by BYU (7-2), Arizona (7-2), Baylor (6-3) and No. 25 Oklahoma State (6-3). Winning at Boone Pickens Stadium keeps the Red Raiders squarely in the driver's seat for an Arlington title-game berth and an at-large College Football Playoff ticket.
An Oklahoma State victory flips the tiebreaker head-to-head, pulling the Cowboys even with Texas Tech in the loss column at 5-2 in Big 12 play with Arizona State and Kansas left on the schedule.
Three shared Big 12 opponents and an unbelievable zero-fumbles-lost streak
Houston, Colorado and West Virginia have already faced the Red Raiders and the Cowboys this fall.
Against Houston, Texas Tech squeezed out a 28-26 home victory on Sept. 19 whereas Oklahoma State dropped a 35-32 road decision on Oct. 17. Against Colorado, the Red Raiders won 29-7 in Boulder on Oct. 3 and the Cowboys hung 57-24 on the Buffaloes in Stillwater three weeks later. Against West Virginia, Oklahoma State won 41-24 in Morgantown on Sept. 26 while Texas Tech outscored the Mountaineers 53-48 last weekend.
Here is the wildest ball-security stat in America tonight: across 18 combined games, Texas Tech (14 fumbles, zero lost) and Oklahoma State (nine fumbles, zero lost) have lost exactly zero fumbles all season. Every single turnover committed by these two offenses (eight interceptions by Oklahoma State, seven by Texas Tech) has come in the air.
How Joey McGuire's Red Raiders climbed to 8-1 and second in the Big 12
Texas Tech enters Week 12 riding a two-game winning streak after surviving a 53-48 shootout over West Virginia in Lubbock last Saturday night and beating Arizona 34-26 on Oct. 31.
McGuire's squad started the autumn 6-0: 33-10 over Abilene Christian on Sept. 5, 35-24 on the road at Oregon State on Sept. 12, 28-26 past Houston on Sept. 19, 49-14 against Sam Houston on Sept. 26, 29-7 at Colorado on Oct. 3 and 53-25 over Arizona State on Oct. 17. Their solitary blemish came on Oct. 24 in a 37-24 road loss at Cincinnati.
Two road trips remain on Texas Tech's Big 12 slate, starting tonight in Stillwater before next Saturday's visit to Baylor.
Last Saturday's fireworks: 66 points in Manhattan and 101 combined in Lubbock
Neither scoreboard operator got a breather seven days ago.
Oklahoma State walked into Manhattan on Nov. 7 and demolished Kansas State 66-28 on the road, shaking off a 51-49 heartbreaker at Iowa State from Oct. 31. Earlier in the campaign Morris' Cowboys fell 24-10 at Tulsa in the Sept. 5 opener, upset Oregon 39-31 in Stillwater on Sept. 12, blanked Murray State 59-0, won 41-24 at West Virginia on Sept. 26, handled UCF 42-28 on Oct. 10, lost 35-32 at Houston on Oct. 17 and crushed Colorado 57-24 on Oct. 24.
Notice the pattern at Boone Pickens Stadium: 4-0 straight up with 197 points scored (49.3 per game) against Oregon, Murray State, UCF and Colorado.
LaDainian Fields (7 INTs) and A.J. Holmes Jr. (7.5 sacks) headline the takeaway race
In a matchup carrying a 73.5-point total, one stolen possession in the third or fourth quarter swings everything.
Texas Tech owns 17 takeaways through nine games on 13 interceptions and four fumble recoveries while generating 29 team sacks for 111 lost opponent yards and holding foes to 24.1 points and 115.3 rushing yards per contest (287.0 passing yards allowed, 402.3 total). Defensive lineman A.J. Holmes Jr. leads all pass rushers tonight with 7.5 sacks, joined by linebackers Trey White (5.0 sacks) and LaDamion Guyton (4.0 sacks). Linebacker Austin Romaine tops the Red Raiders with 81 tackles and two interceptions alongside Ben Roberts (66 tackles) and John Curry (45 tackles, three interceptions).
Oklahoma State counters with 14 takeaways (11 interceptions, three fumble recoveries) and 17 team sacks while yielding 27.2 points and 384.0 yards per game (232.7 passing, 151.3 rushing). Cornerback LaDainian Fields has picked off an astonishing seven passes by himself, and linebacker Ethan Wesloski matches Romaine tackle for tackle with 81 stops plus a team-high 4.0 sacks ahead of defensive end Malik Charles (3.5 sacks, one interception) and linebacker Tate Romney (62 tackles).
J'Koby Williams (8.0 yards per carry) and Will Hammond power 8-1 Texas Tech
Texas Tech brings plenty of offensive punch of its own at 37.6 points (338 points, 41 total touchdowns) and 449.3 yards per game, split almost evenly between 234.7 passing yards and 214.7 rushing yards.
Running back J'Koby Williams has shredded Big 12 fronts at 8.0 yards per carry, turning 119 attempts into 954 rushing yards and seven touchdowns. Cameron Dickey and dual-threat quarterback Thomas Castellanos have chipped in 284 rushing yards apiece for a Red Raiders ground attack sitting at 1,932 yards (5.3 per carry) and 21 rushing scores on 366 carries.
Quarterback Will Hammond leads the passing ledger at 139 of 205 (67.8 percent) for 1,561 yards, six touchdowns and six interceptions alongside Castellanos' 551 passing yards. Wide receiver Kenny Johnson paces Lubbock's pass catchers with 40 receptions for 632 yards and four touchdowns, flanked by Coy Eakin (285 yards) and tight end Terrance Carter Jr. (274 yards).
Drew Mestemaker and Eric Morris' 533.6-yard Oklahoma State machine
Anyone wondering why a three-loss home team lays 3.5 points against an 8-1 contender only needs one glance at Oklahoma State's offensive stat sheet under head coach Eric Morris.
Oklahoma State averages 43.9 points (395 total points, 48 touchdowns) and 533.6 total yards per game, piling up 339.1 yards through the air and 194.4 yards on the ground with 238 first downs in nine outings. Quarterback Drew Mestemaker has completed 206 of 309 passes (66.7 percent) for 2,962 yards, 29 touchdowns and eight interceptions while absorbing only eight sacks for 61 lost yards all season and adding 177 rushing yards.
Firepower surrounds him everywhere.
Running back Caleb Hawkins has already topped the four-digit mark with 187 carries for 1,081 rushing yards (5.8 yards per attempt) and seven touchdowns, backed by Ayo Adeyi's 200 yards on the ground. Wideout Justin Bowick leads the receiving room with 44 catches for 790 yards and 10 touchdowns, right ahead of Wyatt Young (763 yards) and Miles Coleman (460 yards).
No. 12 Texas Tech visits No. 25 Oklahoma State in Stillwater, 9:30 p.m. ET on ESPN
Welcome to Stillwater and VAVEL's late-night Big 12 coverage of No. 12 Texas Tech at No. 25 Oklahoma State from Boone Pickens Stadium. Kickoff on the artificial turf is scheduled for 9:30 p.m. ET on ESPN, which is 8:30 p.m. CT across Oklahoma and West Texas and 03:30 CET in Madrid.
Las Vegas flipped the script on the AP poll again.
Joey McGuire's Texas Tech Red Raiders arrive alone in second place in the Big 12 at 8-1 overall and 5-1 in league play, sitting 13 spots higher in the national rankings than Eric Morris' 6-3 Oklahoma State Cowboys (4-2 Big 12). DraftKings still makes Oklahoma State a 3.5-point home favorite (-180 moneyline) with a massive 73.5-point over/under after Texas Tech opened as the early favorite. Track every snap, touchdown and turnover right here.





Chilly November weather greets the teams in Stillwater tonight: 49 degrees Fahrenheit at Boone Pickens Stadium with 14 mph wind gusts.
DraftKings posts No. 25 Oklahoma State at minus 3.5 (-108 spread, -180 moneyline) and No. 12 Texas Tech at plus 3.5 (-112 spread, +150 moneyline), paired with a 73.5-point total (-115 to the over). ESPN's Matchup Predictor backs the tight spread with a razor-thin 51.5 percent edge for Oklahoma State against 48.5 percent for Texas Tech. Together these two squads average 81.5 points and 982.9 total yards per Saturday.
ESPN carries the national television broadcast with kickoff at 9:30 p.m. ET / 8:30 p.m. CT (02:30 UTC). Stay locked on VAVEL for coin-toss updates, starters, live touchdowns, Mestemaker and Hammond stats, and drive-by-drive coverage all night.