Is Liverpool already a must-win game for Arsenal?
Arsenal boss Mikel Arteta leads a team talk during their UEFA Champions League tie against Shakhtar Donetsk (Photo by Catherine Ivill - AMA/Getty Images)

As we enter late October, Arsenal’s upcoming clash with Liverpool feels like it carries far more weight than just three points in the Premier League.

The Gunners have enjoyed a mixed start to the 2024-25 season, but as they prepare to face Arne Slot's formidable Reds, the question arises: is this already a must-win game for Mikel Arteta’s men?

  • The stakes for Arsenal

Arsenal, sitting third in the Premier League as of mid-October, are once again looking like title contenders. Their summer signings have blended in well, and the team’s style of play continues to improve under Arteta's guidance.

But there’s no hiding from the reality that they’ve already dropped points in games that could prove costly, such as the home draw against Tottenham in the North London Derby and a tough loss to Manchester City.

Their match against Liverpool, set for the final weekend of October, is the first of several significant tests in their schedule, and the pressure is mounting. With Manchester City firing on all cylinders, Arsenal need to keep pace.

A loss to Liverpool would not only dent their title hopes but could also raise questions about their ability to compete with the league’s top sides consistently. In recent years, Arsenal have performed well in marquee matchups, and if they want to claim the Premier League crown, they must continue handling the pressure of these encounters.

  • Liverpool’s resurgence

Liverpool, on the other hand, are rejuvenated this season. After an underwhelming end to the 2023-24 campaign, Slot’s side is back in form, currently sitting first in the league.

Their high-pressing, fast-paced style has returned with a vengeance, and they boast one of the most potent attacking forces in the league. Mohamed Salah, Luis Diaz, and Dominik Szoboszlai have been tearing apart defences, making Liverpool a serious threat.

Despite missing out on Champions League football last season, Liverpool have come out fighting and look determined to reassert themselves among the Premier League elite. Beating Arsenal would not only boost their own title ambitions but would also send a statement to the rest of the league that Liverpool are well and truly back.

For Arsenal, this represents a formidable challenge. While they’ve managed to get results against teams higher in the table, dropping points to Liverpool could not only harm their standing in the league but also send them spiralling down.

  • Injury concerns and suspensions

One of the major issues Arsenal face heading into this game is the question of squad depth and injuries. Martin Odegaard is still suffering from a leg injury, and Bukayo Saka may not be available after missing the Bournemouth game.

William Saliba will also be missing after being sent off against Bournemouth, a suspension that has been discussed time and time again. While none of these injuries are long-term, the squad’s ability to cope with fatigue and the rigour of big matches will be tested. 

For Arsenal squad rotation hasn’t always been smooth, and with Champions League commitments adding to their already packed schedule, fatigue could play a role in their performance at the Emirates.

  • Mental and tactical battle

Tactically, the matchup will be fascinating. Arsenal’s possession-based game will come up against Liverpool’s high-pressing style, and how Arsenal cope with the intensity of Slot’s pressing without Saliba could determine the outcome.

Liverpool have found success this season by winning the ball high up the pitch and punishing teams on the counter, something that could unsettle Arsenal’s backline.

For Arteta, finding a balance between maintaining their attacking fluidity and remaining compact defensively will be key. If Arsenal can control possession and bypass Liverpool’s press, they can exploit the space left in behind, where Gabriel Martinelli and Raheem Sterling could cause havoc.

However, if Liverpool are allowed to impose their game, it could turn into a long afternoon for the Gunners.

The psychological aspect of the game is also critical. Arsenal, despite their recent resurgence, still have a reputation for "bottling" in high-pressure situations.

They have made strides in shaking off that image, but a loss to Liverpool could reignite old doubts. Winning this match could mark a turning point in their season, showing that Arsenal are not just contenders but genuine favourites for the title.

  • Is it truly a must-win game?

Calling the game a must-win might seem premature, especially in October, but the reality of the Premier League title race means that dropping points in key matches can have long-term consequences.

A win against Liverpool would not only keep Arsenal within touching distance of Man City but would also signal their intent to go all the way this season.

Liverpool, meanwhile, will be desperate to get one over on a direct rival for Champions League places and potentially the title. With both teams’ ambitions in the balance, this game feels like much more than just another league match.

Ultimately, while it may not define the entire season, Arsenal’s clash with Liverpool is already shaping up to be a pivotal moment. A win could propel the Gunners to new heights, while a loss could see them fall further behind in the title race.

Either way, it’s a game that Arsenal cannot afford to take lightly. Whether it is October or May, title-winning teams seize these opportunities, and Arsenal must do the same if they want to end their long wait for Premier League glory.