If you have any questions about how the formula works or would like some clarification from the creator feel free to e-mail [email protected]. You can follow along with the calculation of the numbers at our VAVEL Bracketology page right here.

(Records updated through Wednesday, March 11th)

We will start with a look at the play-in games taking place in Dayton, Ohio on March 17th and 18th.

Team (Record, How They Made the Tournament)

Tuesday, March 17th

Midwest #16 Seed

Robert Morris (19-14, Northeast Automatic Bid)

Texas Southern (20-12, SWAC Champion)


Midwest #12 Seed

Miami-Florida (21-11, At-Large)

Purdue (20-11, At-Large)


Wednesday, March 18th

East #16 Seed

North Florida (23-11, Atlantic Sun Automatic Bid)

Manhattan (19-13, Metro Atlantic Automatic Bid)


West #12 Seed

Murray State (27-5, At-Large)

Xavier (19-12, At-Large)


Midwest Region (#1; Cleveland, Ohio)

March 19th in Louisville, Kentucky

#1 Kentucky (31-0, SEC Champion)

#16 Winner of Robert Morris/Texas Southern


#8 Oregon (23-8, At-Large)

#9 Old Dominion (24-6, Conference USA Champion)


March 19th in Louisville, Kentucky

#4 Wichita State (28-4, At-Large)

#13 Buffalo (21-9, Mid-American Champion)


#5 Oklahoma (21-9, At-Large)

#12 Winner of Miami-Florida/Purdue


March 20th in Columbus, Ohio

#3 Notre Dame (26-5, At-Large)

#14 North Dakota State (23-9, Summit League Automatic Bid)


#6 Butler (22-9, At-Large)

#11 Boise State (24-7, At-Large)


March 20th in Omaha, Nebraska

#2 Kansas (24-7, Big 12 Champion)

#15 Coastal Carolina (24-9, Big South Automatic Bid)


#7 Ohio State (22-9, At-Large)

#10 Cincinnati (22-9, At-Large)


East Region (#2; Syracuse, New York)

March 20th in Charlotte, North Carolina

#1 Virginia (28-2, ACC Champion)

#16 Winner of North Florida/Manhattan


#8 Iowa (21-10, At-Large)

#9 St. John’s (21-10, At-Large)


March 19th in Jacksonville, Florida

#4 Baylor (23-8, At-Large)

#13 Wofford (28-6, Southern Automatic Bid)


#5 Utah (23-7, At-Large)

#12 Ole Miss (20-11, At-Large)


March 19th in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania

#3 Maryland (26-5, At-Large)

#14 Northeastern (23-11, Colonial Automatic Bid)


#6 Georgetown (20-9, At-Large)

#11 NC State (20-12, At-Large)


March 20th in Seattle, Washington

#2 Gonzaga (32-2, West Coast Automatic Bid)

#15 Belmont (22-10, Ohio Valley Automatic Bid)


#7 Virginia Commonwealth (22-9, Atlantic 10 Champion)

#10 Texas (20-12, At-Large)


South Region (#3; Houston, Texas)

March 19th in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania

#1 Villanova (29-2, Big East Champion)

#16 Lafayette (20-12, Patriot League Automatic Bid)


#8 Davidson (23-6, At-Large)

#9 LSU (22-9, At-Large)


March 19th in Portland, Oregon

#4 Iowa State (22-8, At-Large)

#13 UC Davis (24-5, Big West Champion)


#5 North Carolina (22-10, At-Large)

#12 Valparaiso (28-5, Horizon League Automatic Bid)


March 20th in Seattle, Washington

#3 Northern Iowa (30-3, Missouri Valley Automatic Bid)

#14 Eastern Washington (23-8, Big Sky Champion)


#6 Colorado State (26-5, Mountain West Champion)

#11 Temple (22-9, At-Large)


March 20th in Charlotte, North Carolina

#2 Duke (28-3, At-Large)

#15 Albany (23-8, America East Champion)


#7 Michigan State (21-10, At-Large)

#10 Georgia (20-10, At-Large)


West Region (#4; Los Angeles, California)

March 20th in Omaha, Nebraska

#1 Wisconsin (28-3, Big Ten Champion)

#16 New Mexico State (21-10, WAC Champion)


#8 San Diego State (24-7, At-Large)

#9 Dayton (23-7, At-Large)


March 20th in Columbus, Ohio

#4 West Virginia (23-8, At-Large)

#13 Harvard (21-7, Ivy League Champion)


#5 Arkansas (24-7, At-Large)

#12 Winner of Murray State/Xavier


March 19th in Jacksonville, Florida

#3 Louisville (24-7, At-Large)

#14 Georgia State (22-9, Sun Belt Champion)


#6 SMU (24-6, American Champion)

#11 Stephen F. Austin (27-4, Southland Champion)


March 19th in Portland, Oregon

#2 Arizona (28-3, Pac-12 Champion)

#15 North Carolina Central (25-6, Mid-Eastern Champion)


#7 Providence (21-10, At-Large)

#10 BYU (25-9, At-Large)


LAST FOUR IN:

Murray State (27-5)

Xavier (19-12)

Miami-Florida (21-11)

Purdue (20-11)

FIRST FOUR OUT:

Texas A&M (20-10)

Indiana (19-12)

Oklahoma State (18-12)

Louisiana Tech (24-7)

NEXT FOUR OUT:

Illinois (19-12)

Tulsa (21-9)

UCLA (19-12)

Rhode Island (21-8)

BRACKET CHANGES:

At-Large Out:

Texas A&M

At-Large In:

Miami-Florida

Conference Champions Out:

None

Conference Champions In:

None