The Superbowl Champions are a good team and the favourite for the repeat, note good is not great. They have to prove that against The Buffalo Bills who also fit that billing they can overcome adversity and cement in all minds they are the next NFL dynasty.
The Bills, on the other hand, have to prove they are ready to go up against good teams and win. Otherwise, come January time you are in danger of being one and done.
Season So far
These teams are human, after all then. After a week of humbling for both teams which saw The Kansas City Chiefs comfortably beaten by The Las Vegas Raiders for the first time since 2017 and The Bills swatted aside by the unbeaten Tennessee Titans.
With both teams sitting at 4-1 it means for an interesting matchup as the Chiefs have not really been in full gear all season but still collecting wins. Patrick Mahomes has been great because he is great, but the defence has been simply poor. With only one game this season did they even looking 80 per cent of who they were last season. That was the dismantling of the Baltimore Ravens.
Looking at the defending champions, you would say they are heading for a back to back titles. Or are they, there have been cracks in the amour all year against smaller teams. The Los Angles Chargers first showed the Chiefs were human by forcing them all the way to overtime; the Chiefs won that game because of Mahomes being Mahomes. The Superbowl MVP has been a top-five QB all year and will continue to carry this team to wins, and with the addition of Le’Veon Bell the running game KC will certainly improve, but that’ll have to wait until next week.
On the trip to New York, the Bills have been flying this season. Yes, last week game versus the Titans was poor, but Josh Allen has been incredible and if Russel Wilson wasn’t cooking or Aaron Rodgers was on a revenge tour of his critics, we would be talking about an MVP season. We should still talk about Allen’s advancement in the hierarchy of quarterbacks. Head coach Sean McDermott deserves a lot of credit the acquisition of wide receiver Stefon Diggs from the Minnesota Vikings in the offseason has been revolutionary in the Bills offence.
With the 26-year-old on pace to break all career stats with his highest yards from scrimmage, highest targets, and second-highest touchdowns. Diggs has been a brilliant tool for Allen and is no surprise that the connection is the centre of the offence in Western New York.
What the Stats Say
Both of the starting quarterbacks are off in the area of being top five in the whole NFL. With NFL.com putting them at three and four respectfully. With Mahomes having 13 passing touchdowns and Allen having 14. Monday night will be a duel between two young guns providing us with not but entrainment. But Allen hasn’t been perfect with his three interceptions and three lost fumbles. It is still a marvel how these two can change games in so many different ways. We will see so many special things Monday.
The Bills do now have a method to defeat the Chiefs. The Raiders made sure of that, Who would have thought John Gruden would be the one to best the Superbowl Champions. Whatever Gruden did worked, because according to Next Gen Stats, Mahomes had an extra second on average to hold the ball before attempting a pass last Sunday than he had in his first four starts this season. This resulting in the fourth year QB existing the pocket more frequently and not allowing throws down the field.
We can almost with certainty expect big plays from both teams and the stats tell us this.
Buffalo has been near the top of the NFL with 20-plus yard pass plays. Tied for fourth in league with 23 plays of 20 yards or more, they also rank sixth in the NFL with six plays of 40 yards or more.
If the Bills can give Allen time, the passing game could make plays on the Chiefs corners. Even if Kansas City adopts some of the Titans defensive tactics, they have been susceptible to big plays. Through five games the Chiefs have given up six plays of 40-plus yards, which is tied for third-most surrendered this season.
The impossible task is predicting these teams and what will happen. Whatever does on paper it looks to be one of the games of the year.
Football is not won on paper, though.
My question then for on the field will be Andy Reid vs Sean McDermott.
Reid wins, as do the Chiefs.
Chiefs 31-27 Bills